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10/25/2007 - Milwaukee, WI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Milwaukee Bucks revealed Thursday that center Andrew Bogut's wrist injury was a sprain, and not broken.
Bogut injured his left wrist in the third quarter of the Bucks' exhibition game at Denver on Tuesday. He had both X-rays and an MRI taken to determine the extent of the damage.
Both tests, however, came back negative. Bogut is now listed as day-to-day, and is expected to miss the Bucks' final two preseason games - Thursday at Chicago, and Friday at Minnesota.
<< PSV defender suspended for spitting at opponent
Eindhoven, Netherlands (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - PSV Eindhoven defender Eric Addo was
banned for four matches by UEFA on Thursday for committing an act of gross
unsporting conduct for spitting toward an opponent.
Addo spat at Fenerbahce's Se
<< Hackworth named U.S. men's assistant
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Longtime United States Soccer Youth National
Team coach John Hackworth was named an assistant coach of the United States
Men's National Team on Wednesday.
Hackworth, who will also serve as the Developm
<< Davydenko exits St. Petersburg draw
St. Petersburg, Russia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Top-seeded Russian star Nikolay
Davydenko was the lone second-round upset victim Thursday at the $1 million
St. Petersburg Open.
Croatian qualifier Marin Cilic stunned the world No. 4 Davyde
<< Pistons rookie Stuckey undergoes hand surgery, out six weeks
Auburn Hills, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Detroit Pistons rookie guard Rodney
Stuckey had surgery on his left hand Thursday and will be sidelined six weeks.
Stuckey broke his hand late in the third quarter of Detroit's 104-85 preseason
vict
Titans DT Simon announces retirement >>
Nashville, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tennessee Titans veteran defensive tackle
Corey Simon announced his retirement on Thursday.
The Florida State product, who was originally a sixth overall draft choice of
the Philadelphia Eagles in 2000,
Dolphins' Thomas to miss London game against Giants >>
Davie, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Miami Dolphins linebacker Zach Thomas will not
play Sunday against the New York Giants in London after experiencing the
effects of whiplash from a car accident.
Last Sunday, Thomas and his wife were in
Devil Rays claim Snelling off waivers >>
St. Petersburg, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Tampa Bay Devil Rays have claimed
outfielder Chris Snelling off waivers from the Oakland Athletics.
Snelling, the 25-year-old Australian native, split the 2007 season with
Washington and Se
Federer rolls; Blake bows out in Basel >>
Basel, Switzerland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Hometown hero Roger Federer was an
easy second-round winner, while fourth-seeded American James Blake went by way
of the upset Thursday at the $1.2 million Swiss Indoors tennis event.
The top-seede
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The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.
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